Week 16 NFL Playoff Scenarios
5 min read
The NFL Playoff Scenarios for Week 16, 2023.
Clinching Scenarios
NFC
- San Francisco can clinch the #1 Seed with:
- Win + Loss + Loss + Loss
- San Francisco can clinch a top-two seed with:
- Win AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss + Loss
- Win AND EITHER
- Philadelphia can clinch a top-five seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Philadelphia can clinch a top-six seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Dallas can clinch a top-five seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss
- Detroit can clinch a top-three seed with:
- Win
- Detroit can clinch a top-six seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss + Loss
- Detroit can clinch a playoff berth with:
- Win OR
- Loss OR
- Loss
AFC
- Kansas City can clinch a top-three seed with:
- Win + Loss + Loss + Loss
- Kansas City can clinch the AFC West with:
- Win
- Miami can clinch a top-three seed with:
- Win + Loss + Loss + Loss + Loss
- Miami can clinch the AFC East with:
- Win + Loss
- Miami can clinch a top-six seed with:
- Win AND ONE OF
- Loss
- Loss
- Loss + Loss
- Win AND ONE OF
- Miami can clinch a playoff berth with:
- Win
- Baltimore can clinch a top-two seed with:
- Win + Loss + Loss
- Baltimore can clinch a top-three seed with:
- Win + Loss
- Baltimore can clinch a top-five seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Loss AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss + Loss
- Baltimore can clinch a top-six seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss OR
- Loss OR
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Cleveland can clinch a top-six seed with:
- Win + Loss + Loss + Loss + Loss +Loss +Loss
- Cleveland can clinch a playoff berth with:
- Win AND ONE OF
- Loss + Loss AND TWO OF
- Loss
- Loss
- Loss
- Loss + Loss + Loss AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Loss + Loss + Loss +Loss AND EITHER
- Loss OR
- Loss
- Loss + Loss AND TWO OF
- Win AND ONE OF
Elimination Scenarios
NFC
- LA Rams can be eliminated from the #5 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win
- Seattle can be eliminated from the #5 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win
- Philadelphia can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss + Win
- Dallas can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss + Win
- NY Giants can be eliminated from the #6 Seed with:
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win
- THREE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win AND ONE OF
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- TWO OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Loss AND ONE OF
- NY Giants can be eliminated from the playoffs with:
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Win
- TWO OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win
- Win + Win
- Win + Win AND EITHER
- Win
- Win + Win
- Win + Win + Win + Win
- Win AND THREE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win + Win AND ONE OF
- Win + Win
- Win + Win
- Win + Win + Win
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Detroit can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss + Win
- Minnesota can be eliminated from a top-five seed with:
- Loss
- Chicago can be eliminated from the #6 Seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Chicago can be eliminated from the eliminated from the playoffs with:
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Win
- TWO OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- Win + Win
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Tampa Bay can be eliminated from the #3 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- New Orleans can be eliminated from the #3 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win + Win + Win + Win + Win
- Atlanta can be eliminated from the NFC South with:
- Loss + Win
- Atlanta can be eliminated from a top-six seed with:
- Loss AND EITHER
- Win + Win + Win OR
- SEVEN OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Loss AND EITHER
AFC
- Kansas City can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- Loss AND EITHER
- Denver can be eliminated from the #2 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win
- Denver can be eliminated from a top-three seed with:
- Win OR
- Loss +Win +Win
- Denver can be eliminated from the AFC West with:
- Win
- Denver can be eliminated from a top-five seed with:
- Loss + Win AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- THREE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Loss + Win AND ONE OF
- Las Vegas can be eliminated from a top-three seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win + Win
- Las Vegas can be eliminated from the playoffs with:
- Loss
- LA Chargers can be eliminated from a top-six seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR TWO OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- LA Chargers can be eliminated from the playoffs with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win + Win
- Win + Win + Win
- FOUR OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Buffalo can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- SIX OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Buffalo can be eliminated from the AFC East with:
- Loss +Win
- Buffalo can be eliminated from a top-five seed with:
- Loss +Win + Win
- Cleveland can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Win
- Win
- Win + Win
- Loss AND ONE OF
- Cleveland can be eliminated from the AFC North with:
- Loss + Win
- Cincinnati can be eliminated from the #5 Seed with:
- Loss + Win
- Pittsburgh can be eliminated from the #5 Seed with:
- Loss
- Jacksonville can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- FOUR OF
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Win
- Jacksonville can be eliminated from a top-two seed with:
- Loss AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- Loss AND EITHER
- Jacksonville can be eliminated from a top-three seed with:
- Loss + Win + Win
- Indianapolis can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win
- Indianapolis can be eliminated from a top-two seed with:
- Loss AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- Loss AND EITHER
- Indianapolis can be eliminated from a top-three seed with:
- Loss + Win + Win
- Houston can be eliminated from the #1 Seed with:
- Loss OR
- Win OR
- Win OR
- Win
- Houston can be eliminated from a top-two seed with:
- Loss AND EITHER
- Win OR
- Win
- Loss AND EITHER
- Houston can be eliminated from a top-three seed with:
- Loss + Win + Win
Note: Scenarios which require at least one tie game are omitted for legibility.
Current Possible Seeds